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  • 1
    ISSN: 1432-1238
    Keywords: Key words Severity of illness ; Outcome ; Customization ; Mortality prediction ; Uniformity ; of fit ; SAPS II
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Medicine
    Notes: Abstract Objectives: To evaluate the prognostic performance of the original Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) II in Austrian intensive care patients and to evaluate the impact of customization. Design: Analysis of the database of a multicenter study. Setting: Nine adult medical, surgical, and mixed intensive care units (ICUs) in Austria. Patients: A total of 1733 patients consecutively admitted to the ICUs. Measurements and results: The database included admission data, SAPS II, length of stay, and hospital mortality. The Hosmer–Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test for the SAPS II showed a lack of uniformity of fit (H = 89.1, 10 df, p 〈 0.0001; C = 91.8, 10 df, p 〈 0.0001). Subgroup analysis showed good performance in patients with cardiovascular (medical and surgical) diseases as the primary reasons for admission. A new predictive equation was derived by means of the logistic regression. Goodness-of-fit was excellent for the customized model (SAPS IIAM) (H = 11.2, 9 df, p = 0.33, C = 11.6, 9 df, p = 0.24). The mean standardized mortality ratio (SMR) changed from 0.81 ± 0.26 to 0.93 ± 0.29 with customization. Conclusions: SAPS II was not well calibrated when applied to all patients. However, it performed well for patients with cardiovascular diseases as the primary reason for admission and may thus be applied to these patients. Standardized mortality ratios that are calculated from scoring systems without known calibration must be viewed with skepticism.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 2
    ISSN: 1432-1238
    Keywords: Key words Multiple myeloma ; Hematological patients ; Intensive care ; Bone marrow transplantation ; Mechanical ventilation ; Noninvasive mechanical ventilation ; Shock
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Medicine
    Notes: Abstract Objective: Intensivists generally view patients with hematological malignancies as poor candidates for intensive care. Nevertheless, hematologists have recently developed more aggressive treatment protocols capable of achieving prolonged complete remissions in many of these patients. This change mandates a reappraisal of indications for ICU admission in each type of hematological disease. Improved knowledge of the prognosis is of assistance in making treatment decisions. Patients and methods: The records of 75 myeloma patients consecutively admitted to our ICU between 1992 and 1998 were reviewed retrospectively and predictors of 30-day mortality were identified using stepwise logistic regression. Results: The median age was 56 years (37–84). Chronic health status (Knaus scale) was C or D in 39 cases. Fifty-five patients (73 %) had stage III disease and 17 had a complete or partial remission. Autologous bone marrow transplantation had been performed in 28 patients (37 %). ICU admission occurred between 1992 and 1995 in 41 patients (54.7 %), and between 1996 and 1998 in 34 patients (45.3 %). The median SAPS II and LOD scores were 60 (23–107) and 7 (0–21), respectively. Reasons for ICU admission were acute respiratory failure in 39 patients (52 %) and shock in 31 (41 %). Forty-six patients (61 %) required mechanical ventilation. Fifty patients (66 %) received vasopressors and 24 dialysis. Thirty-day mortality was 57 %. Only five parameters were independently associated with 30-day mortality in the multivariate model: female gender (OR = 5.12), mechanical ventilation (OR = 16.7) and use of vasopressor agents (OR = 5.67) were associated with a higher mortality rate, whereas disease remission (OR = 0.16) and ICU admission between 1996 and 1998 (OR = 0.09) were associated with a lower one. Conclusion: The prognosis for myeloma patients in the ICU is improving over time. This may reflect either recent therapeutic changes in hematological departments and ICUs or changes in patient selection for ICU admission. Hematologists and intensivists should work closely together to select hematological patients likely to benefit from ICU admission.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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  • 3
    ISSN: 1432-1238
    Keywords: Key words Cancer ; Intensive care unit ; Mortality ; Prognostic factors ; Mechanical ventilation ; Logistic organ dysfunction
    Source: Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
    Topics: Medicine
    Notes: Abstract Admission of cancer patients with serious medical complications to the ICU remains controversial primarily because of the high short-term mortality rates in these patients. However, the cancer patient population is heterogeneous regarding age, underlying conditions, and curability of their disease, suggesting that large variations may occur in the effectiveness of intensive care within this subgroup of critically ill patients.¶Objectives: To identify factors predicting 30-day mortality in patients with solid tumors admitted to a medical ICU.¶Patients and methods: We conducted a retrospective study in 120 consecutive cancer patients (excluding patients with hematological malignancies) admitted to the medical ICU of a 650-bed university hospital between January 1990 and July 1997. Medical history, physical and laboratory test findings at admission, and therapeutic interventions within the first 24 h in the ICU were recorded. The study endpoint was vital status 30 days after ICU admission. Stepwise logistic regression was used to identify independent prognostic factors.¶Results: The observed 30-day mortality rate was 58.7 % (n = 68), with most deaths (92 %) occurring in the ICU. Univariate predictors of 30-day mortality were either protective [prior surgery for the cancer (p = 0.01) and complete remission (p = 0.01)] or associated with higher mortality [Knaus scale C or D (p = 0.02), shock (p = 0.04), need for vasopressors (p = 0.0006) or for mechanical ventilation (p = 0.0001), SAPS II score greater than 36 (p = 0.0001), LOD score greater than 6 (p = 0.0001), and ODIN score 〉 2 (p = 0.0001)]. Three variables were independent predictors: previous surgery for the cancer (OR 0.20, 95 % CI 0.07–0.58), LOD score 〉 6 (OR 1.26, 95 % CI 1.09–1.44), and need for mechanical ventilation (OR 3.55, 95 % CI; 1.26–6.7). Variables previously thought to be indicative of a poor prognosis (i. e., advanced age, metastatic or progressive disease, neutropenia or bone marrow transplantation) were not predictive of outcome.¶Conclusion: When transfer to an ICU is considered an option by patients and physicians, 30-day mortality is better estimated by an evaluation of acute organ dysfunction than by the characteristics of the underlying malignancy.
    Type of Medium: Electronic Resource
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