Digitale Medien
Oxford, UK
:
Blackwell Publishing Ltd
European journal of political research
15 (1987), S. 0
ISSN:
1475-6765
Quelle:
Blackwell Publishing Journal Backfiles 1879-2005
Thema:
Politikwissenschaft
Notizen:
Abstract. Throughout the history of social science, cyclical theories have had an intrinsic fascination for the explanation of social change. Confronted with the manyfold deviations and fluctuations of social development which could not be explained by linear-evolutionary, let alone equilibrium theory, cyclical concepts claim to improve theory building. These concepts are based on the assumption that empirical deviations from a trend should not be handled as random error but can be interpreted substantially. Correspondingly the change from equilibrium to cyclical theory demarcates the changed perception of social systems from static to dynamic stability. Therefore the newer concepts, however, no longer thematize holistic changes of a social system but componential changes within a system. This article discusses the problems arising from this changed perspective, in terms of definition and statistical assessment of cycles. Further, three groups of micro-level explanations causing cyclical development are discussed: predator-prey and saturation concepts and theories of institutional inertia.
Materialart:
Digitale Medien
URL:
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-6765.1987.tb00868.x
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