Prognostic factors in fetal hydronephrosis: a multivariate analysis

Abstract 

With the increasing use of obstetric echography fetal hydronephrosis has been reported more frequently. The purpose of this study was to identify prognostic factors associated with adverse outcome, such as renal failure and death, in fetal hydronephrosis. One hundred and forty-eight children with fetal hydronephrosis were admitted, submitted to a systematic protocol, and prospectively followed. Prognostic factors associated with fetal echography and clinical and laboratory findings on admission were studied. The median follow-up was 39 months. The analysis was conducted in two steps. In a univariate analysis, variables associated with adverse outcome were identified by the Kaplan-Meier method. The variables that were significantly associated with adverse outcome were then included in a multivariate analysis. This analysis, using the multivariate Cox’s model, was performed to identify variables that were independently associated with a worse prognosis. Only variables that remained independently associated with adverse outcome were included in the final model. After final adjustment by Cox’s multivariate model, three variables were identified as independent predictors of adverse outcome: oligohydramnios, prematurity, and glomerular filtration rate lower than 20 ml/min. Thus, in the presence of oligohydramnios, prematurity, and abnormal renal function, the medical team must plan appropriate follow-up for infants at health centers prepared to investigate and treat uropathies in newborns.