Abstract
The United Kingdom faces a decline in the 18-year-old cohort from 900,000 + in the mid-1980s to 600,000 + in the mid-1990s. Will a third of the universities close? More important, will industry and commerce cope with the potential reduction in skilled manpower production? A method is described for forecasting graduate numbers and their quality by discipline, and suggestions are made about ways in which society could react so as to influence unacceptable trends.
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Taylor, B.J.R., Taylor, E.A. Planning responses to demographic change. Res High Educ 26, 148–160 (1987). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00992026
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00992026