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Rice production and climate change: design and development of a GIS database to complement simulation models

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Abstract

A cooperative project between the International Rice Research Institute in Los Baños, Philippines, and the U.S. EPA Environmental Research Laboratory in Corvallis, Oregon, was initiated to estimate how rice yield in Asia might be affected by future climate change and enhanced UV-B irradiance following stratospheric ozone depletion. A radiative transfer model was used to estimate daily UV-B irradiance levels using remotely sensed ozone and cloud cover data for 1274 meteorological stations. A rice yield model using daily climatic data and cultivar-specific coefficients was used to predict changes in yield under given climate change scenarios. This paper gives an overview of the data required to run these two models and describes how a geographical information system (GIS) was used as a data pre- or postprocessor. Problems in finding reliable datasets such as cloud cover data needed for the UV-B radiation model and radiation data needed for the rice yield model are discussed. Issues of spatial and temporal scales are also addressed. Using simulation models at large spatial scales helped identify weaknesses of GIS data overlay and interpolation capabilities. Even though we focussed our efforts on paddy rice, the database is not intended to be system specific and could also be used to analyze the response of other natural systems to climatic change.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. ManTech Environmental Technology, Inc., US EPA Environmental Research Laboratory, 200 SW 35th Street, 97333, Corvallis, OR, USA

    Dominique Bachelet & Andrew Herstrom

  2. USDA Forest Service, 3825 E. Mulberry Street, 80524, Fort Collins, CO, USA

    Doug Brown

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  1. Dominique Bachelet
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  2. Andrew Herstrom
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Bachelet, D., Herstrom, A. & Brown, D. Rice production and climate change: design and development of a GIS database to complement simulation models. Landscape Ecol 8, 77–91 (1993). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00141588

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