ISSN:
1573-7799
Keywords:
convergence hypothesis
;
male–female arrest rates
;
time series methods
Source:
Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
Topics:
Law
Notes:
Abstract It is now almost a quarter of a century since Adler (1975) and Simon (1975)stimulated a debate about the convergence of crime rates for men andwomen. The ensuing debate generated literally dozens of papers. Given theexistence of a series that now extends from 1960 to 1995, this papersuggests an appropriate way to examine the convergence hypothesis usingtime series techniques. These techniques take into consideration the effectsof the following factors: (a) random “shocks” or“innovations,” (b) the potentially lasting effects of suchinnovations, and (c) the autocorrelation that time series oftenexhibit. Using time series techniques on annual data, we examine trends inthe arrest rates for males and females for six Part I crimes (homicide,robbery, aggravated assault, burglary, larceny, and motor vehicle theft)for the years 1960 through 1995. We test for convergence, divergence, notrend, and a special condition of equilibrium between series calledcointegration.
Type of Medium:
Electronic Resource
URL:
http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/A:1007518326031
Permalink
