ISSN:
1573-7187
Keywords:
Bernouilli's law
;
Bayesian estimation
;
prior distribution
;
Laplace theory of probability
Source:
Springer Online Journal Archives 1860-2000
Topics:
Sociology
,
Economics
Notes:
Abstract The paper deals with the problem of the estimation of an unknown probability from a finite number of experiments. We propose a normative (axiomatic) solution that restricts the class of admissible estimators to a one-parameter family. Moreover this solution coincides with the one obtained from Bayes theory with a β prior. Thus our results can be interpreted as a justification for the use of Bayesian inference with a β prior.
Type of Medium:
Electronic Resource
URL:
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF00134108